Business

Rising Merchandise Imports In May Signal Stable Indian Economy, Say Economists

A sequential increase in merchandise imports in May that led to the trade deficit widening to a five-month high signaled a stable local economy, economists said.

Merchandise imports advanced 14.5% over the previous month to $57.1 billion, while exports inched up 0.7% to $35 billion.

The merchandise trade deficit widened to $22.1 billion in May from $15.1 billion in the previous month.

“The recovery in imports points to domestic demand resilience,” said Madhavi Arora, lead economist at Emkay Global. Arora also pointed to a seasonal trend, citing a typical increase in imports in May after a slump in the previous month.

Gold imports more than tripled to $3.7 billion – the highest level since October. Oil imports climbed 3%, while core imports, barring oil and gold, advanced 12.1%.

Imports of industrial goods such as machine tools and consumer goods like electronics grew at a robust pace, indicating resilience in domestic demand, said Rahul Bajoria, chief India economist at Barclays.

Fertilizer imports also jumped significantly ahead of the kharif sowing season, Bajoria added.

Economists, however, do not see the wider merchandise trade deficit in May swaying expectations of a manageable current account deficit in this financial year.

“Falling commodity prices, an expanding services trade surplus and rising remittances have supported the improvement in external metrics so far,” said Bajoria. “This year, a slowing global economy implies commodity prices will trend lower on average compared with the previous year.”

Arora sees the current account deficit settling at 1.9% of the gross domestic product in this fiscal year ending March 31.

Bharat Express English

Recent Posts

ASEAN-India Alliance: A formidable Force Amidst Shifting Global Dynamics

The bilateral trade between India and ASEAN reached USD 86.9 billion in FY 2020-21, making…

1 year ago

India To Serve As Center For Green Hydrogen

By 2030, there will likely be a demand for more than 100 MMT of green…

1 year ago

How Bhutan’s Cross-Border Railway Connectivity With India Opens New Possibilities

Bhutan is gearing up to establish its first internationally connected cross-border railway with India’s north-eastern…

1 year ago

How Political Stability Under PM Modi Is Rocket-Fuelling New India

Opening his company’s first retail outlets in Mumbai and Delhi in May, Tim Cook, the…

1 year ago

COP28: INDIA’S IMPACTFUL ROLE

India’s robust engagement in COP28 amplifies its powerful message on the world stage. At this…

1 year ago

B20: INDIA’S VISION AND ACTION

The B20’s endeavors are carried out through Task Forces (TFs) and Action Councils (ACs), entrusted…

1 year ago